NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Pelicans Picks for February 21

Published 5:40 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (13-42) are underdogs (by 5.5 points) to stop a seven-game road losing streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (30-26) on Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET.

If you hope to make an informed wager on Friday’s game, discover the best bets available in the article below (based on our computer predictions).

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Game Info

  • When: Friday, February 21, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA and Gulf Coast Sports
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Best Bets

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Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 PTS

  • Friday’s over/under for Kyrie Irving is 27.5 points. That is 2.9 more than his season average of 24.6.
  • In 44 games this season with a points prop total, Irving has gone over the total 23 times.
  • The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring team (115.7 points per game), while the Pelicans are 27th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (119.4).
  • When Dallas puts up more than 119.4 points, its record is 17-5.

Bet on Kyrie Irving Props with BetMGM

Trey Murphy III Over 22.5 PTS

  • The 22.5-point prop total for Trey Murphy III on Friday is 0.1 higher than his scoring average, which is 22.4.
  • Murphy has had a points prop in 38 games this season, and has hit the over 23 times.
  • New Orleans is the NBA’s 22nd-ranked team offensively (110.6 points per game), while Dallas is 17th-ranked on defense (113.5 conceded).
  • New Orleans is 10-10 when scoring more points than 113.5.

Bet on Trey Murphy III Props with BetMGM

Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 5.5)

  • Dallas is 30-26-0 against the spread this season.
  • New Orleans has beaten the spread 23 times in 55 games.
  • The Mavericks have an ATS record of 10-6 as 5.5-point favorites or greater.
  • The Pelicans’ ATS record as 5.5-point underdogs or more is 12-19.

Bet on this game’s spread with BetMGM

Pick OU:

Under (237.5)

  • The Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 237.5 combined points in 19 of 56 games this season.
  • The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to score more than 237.5 points in 19 of 55 games this season.
  • Dallas has had an average of 228 points in its games this season, 9.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • New Orleans’ games this season have had an average of 226.8 points, 10.7 fewer points than this game’s total.
  • The Pelicans are the NBA’s 21st-highest scoring team this season compared to the eighth-ranked Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks are the league’s 20th-ranked scoring defense while the Pelicans are the 27th-ranked.

Bet on this game’s total with BetMGM

Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-220)

  • This season, the Mavericks have been favored 27 times and won 18, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • The Pelicans have won in six, or 15%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Dallas has won 12 of its 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -220 on the moneyline.
  • This season, New Orleans has come away with a win two times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +180 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.8% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.

Bet on this game’s moneyline with BetMGM

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